Archive for May, 2007

Fred Thompson and the GOP’s Messiah Complex

Ryan wrote last week at the NNN about the opening for Chuck Hagel in the Republican electorate. The meat of the argument: Iowa Republicans (and Republicans in general) are actually quite against the war. At least when you ask them about it as an issue. But Republicans have been rabid and cultlike in their support of a failed presidency. It’s not speaking against the war in Iraq that gets you into trouble with Republicans - it’s speaking against George W. Bush.

Even Mitch McConnell two weeks ago conceded that Hagel has been mostly right about the war in Iraq. So, why, then, are many Republicans ready to get rid of him in Nebraska? Why is his candidacy for President a non-starter among Republicans nationally? It has a lot to do with the fact that he’s been a vocal critic of George W. Bush, even daring to bring up the “I” word as a possible solution to Bush’s refusal to take accountability.

If the Republicans simply wanted a hawk, John McCain would be running away with the nomination. Their current disgust with the candidates reflects more than a disconnect on the issues, but a disconnect on strategy and a disconnect with their base. In order to win in 2008, the Republican Party needs to run far, far away from Bush. But, since their base is the 28% of Americans who still support Bush, they have to tread lightly.

So, they cloak their language in code-words: “Ronald Reagan Republican,” a “true conservative,” etc., painting the failures of the Bush administration not as failures of the Republican Party, but failures of the administration to adhere to conservative values. Fed up with “Rudy McRomney,” the Republicans find themselves searching for a candidate that they can stomach.

Which brings us to Fred Thompson, the Republican Messiah du jour. Thompson was a U.S. Senator from Tennessee from 1994-2003. During that time, he was a co-sponsor of the McCain-Feingold campaign finance legislation that is poison to Republican ears. They speak of Fred Thompson’s “charisma” as if they know another Fred Thompson. They’re willing to project onto Thompson whatever they want to believe he can be. As an actor by trade, Thompson is more than willing to play the part.

Problem is, he’s not a very good actor, and I suspect even Republicans will grow tired of his act by the time we reach September. We’re seven months away from the first contest of the 2008 election, and I haven’t the slightest clue who the Republican nominee will be. But they’ll keep looking for someone, to save the Republican Party from itself.

Staying True “Blue”

In order to win as a Democrat in Nebraska, you must act like a Republican, talk like a Republican, and vote like a Republican. This is what the tired old conventional wisdom of Nebraska Democratic politics has told us for years. “Inside the box” political thinking that has resulted in exactly one federal victory in the last six years.

Political cowardice that saw Jim Esch ridiculed by the party establishment last year for, among other things:

  • Making sense on immigration.
  • Wanting to get the fuck out of Iraq.
  • And taking a principled stand on PAC money.

Folks who would have you believe that Kerrey’s position on the war is going to be a strength for us should he choose to run for Senate. Who believed that Ben Nelson’s clueless position on immigration is somehow good for the Democratic Party. Who think a bill like LB 475 is too risky to vote for. Who think casting the deciding vote against repeal of the death penalty will ultimately help their political career down the line. And who, after watching two unconventional candidates shock everyone while a conventional candidate got beat by 18 percentage points, hold up the conventional model as the one to follow in this state.

We, as Democrats, need to stand for something, or we will stand for nothing. 

I’m not suggesting ideological purity, not by any means. I am suggesting the common philosophy that means there’s more to our party than just holding office. Our party believes in the ability of our government to help people. A lot of us have disagreements on just how far that can go, but by and large we’re on the same page that we are in a position to do something about it, and we damn well should. The Republican Party preaches that government is the problem. And then they go out of their way to make sure that government is the problem - by willful neglect.

If there were no clearer instance of that line - the line between responsibility and neglect - it would be the war in Iraq. The Republican Party and George W. Bush have been content to send our young men and women into battle without the resources they need. The Democratic Party recognizes the need for a responsible exit from Iraq. Unfortunately, responsibility is nowhere in this President’s vocabulary. And for another 20 months, we will have to see this President’s reckless disregard for the will of the American people send more and more Americans to their deaths.

My opinion on Jim Esch and Scott Kleeb - why they energized so many in 2006, why they will do so again in 2008 - is that they never shied away from being Democrats. They certainly talked about independence - there’s nothing wrong with that, and independence is something that’s in our nature as Democrats, and Nebraskans. But more than that they were never afraid to talk about the things that mattered. And, you know what? People figured out that they agreed with ‘em. Scott Kleeb got 45% of the vote in a district that went 75% for Bush. Many of those people who voted for Kleeb never voted for a Democrat in their lives.

They stopped making it about the stereotypes, the labels. You can run a campaign that appeals to your base and still appeal to Nebraska’s voters - if you emphasize the right issues, if you listen to the concerns of voters. If you are upfront and honest about what you believe. And though I started this post with a jab against Kerrey, one thing I will say about the man is that he has a great deal of respect among Nebraskans for exactly that reason. He was never one to hide his position on an issue, to make it prettier for the cameras, to use doublespeak to blur the lines. Bob Kerrey is a man of integrity.

I write this as kind of a final cap on a week of posts that weren’t exactly “go team,” and quite scathing. I want to see real progress in the Nebraska Democratic Party, and I saw some of it in 2006. I’d like to see that model repeated - successfully - in 2008.

P.S.: I promise, soon, I’ll get back to obsessing about the U.S. Senate race.

Remember The Fallen

This Memorial Day weekend, take some time to remember those who have given their lives in service to this country.

Betrayal

You’re not going to get a whole lot of “go team” from me this week, and I suspect that a lot of my friends here are on the same page. I want to specifically focus this rant on our elected officials and the absolute act of betrayal that they committed today. To start, there’s Keith Olbermann’s (as-always) on-target Special Comment about the war spending bill that the Democrats allowed to pass:

That says it all, really. I can’t find much solace in the fact that Barack Obama, Nancy Pelosi, and Hillary Clinton voted against this bill. It doesn’t speak much of their leadership that the bill passed with an overwhelming bipartisan majority. And this is what I’ve been saying all along: the brand of bipartisanship that exists in Washington is a load of horseshit. It generally consists of the Democrats capitulating to the will of the Republicans, and the Republicans never budging on a single issue.

Today, by overwhelming majorities, both houses of Congress gave President Bush everything he wanted, a blank check to conduct the war in Iraq. This is just sickening. The ultimate act of political cowardice by individuals who have no business being a majority party. You wonder why people don’t think Democrats stand for anything? This is why! This was the Democratic majority “showing the way,” if by “showing the way,” you mean being led around by the nose by a warmongering failure of a President.

If they are this deaf to the will of the American people, the Democrats deserve to lose in 2008.

Hagel and Bruning’s War of Words

OWH:

Chuck Hagel continued to hold his political cards close to the vest Saturday, while Jon Bruning laid his on the table at a gathering of state Republicans in Bellevue.

Bruning, the Nebraska attorney general, made it clear he has decided to run for the U.S. Senate, even if that means going head-to-head against Hagel in a GOP primary.

Hagel, who held an Omaha fundraiser the night before with Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, did not talk about Bruning, his plans or the possibility that he could run for president as an independent.

Instead, the maverick Republican, who has angered some in the party with his criticism of President Bush’s handling of the Iraq war, talked about his belief that the GOP has strayed from the path of Presidents Ronald Reagan and Dwight Eisenhower and that politicians must put country ahead of party.

Both Hagel and Bruning spoke to about 125 Republicans who gathered at Bellevue University for a meeting of the Nebraska Republican Party’s state central committee.

So, Hagel’s running against the Republican Party, and he’s doing it in a room full of die-hard Republicans. You have to wonder what the hell he’s thinking anymore. Once again, it prompts speculation - that Hagel is all-too-willing to encourage - that Chuck Hagel is running for President as an independent. Possibly under the banner of the absolutely moronic “Unity ‘08.”

Meanwhile, Bruning has done his best to make his campaign about being the anti-Hagel candidate. It could backfire tremendously - for one thing, Hagel still has a large amount of institutional support, though that may be softening. But it could also seal his status as the frontrunner for the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate. And it’s Bruning’s abrasive nature, his ruthless ambition, and his extremist views that will put him at odds with whomever the Democrats choose as our nominee. I look forward to seeing Fahey mop the floor with Jon Bruning.

McConnell: Hagel’s Right, I’m Wrong

While we were bringing in a Presidential candidate to Omaha, Nebraska, another potential candidate was holding a fundraiser on Friday - Senator Chuck Hagel. Ostensibly for a Senate reelection bid, Hagel brought in some prominent Republicans from around the country, including Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell. McConnell had some interesting comments to the Lincoln Journal Star’s Don Walton:

Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell lavished praise Friday on Sen. Chuck Hagel and said many of his warnings about the Iraq war have been validated.

“Many of the predictions Chuck Hagel made about the war came true,” the Kentucky senator said in a brief interview after his remarks at a fundraising reception.

“They have proven to be accurate.”

Hagel’s views on the war “have not diminished his effectiveness,” McConnell said, and may, in fact, increase his effectiveness over time.

What McConnell fails to acknowledge is that while Hagel was giving those warnings, McConnell was a gung-ho supporter of the war effort. In fact, he still is. It was McConnell who prevented any sort of debate on the escalation in Iraq. It’s been McConnell who has tried to save the White House from embarrassment at the cost of his own party’s electoral success.

Mitch McConnell, October 2002:

Let me say to my colleagues who suggest that diplomatic initiatives and weapon inspections can prevent the coming conflict with Iraq to look at recent history. Saddam Hussein has violated each and every one of the 16 U.N. Security Council Resolutions pertaining to Iraq. His armed forces continue to fire on American and coalition aircraft in the no-fly zone. Al-Qaida terrorists continue to leave footprints on Iraqi soil. And Saddam Hussein and his henchmen continue to make billions of dollars by exploiting the U.N.’s oil for food program and through other illicit activities.

Although the regime recently proved that it can fool some embarrassingly naive visiting American lawmakers into believing its empty assurances of cooperation and compliance, they are not duping this Senator–or the President.

More importantly, the American people will not follow the lead of these modern-day Neville Chamberlains and allow the United States to be played for a fool. For it is only a fool who does not learn from past mistakes, and the world has ten years of Iraqi lies from which to learn. Speaking before the United Nations General Assembly a day after the anniversary of the September 11th attacks, President Bush challenged the United Nations to maintain its relevancy in a world challenged by terror:

Iraq has answered a decade of U.N. demands with a decade of defiance. . . . [America] will work with the U.N. Security Council to meet our common challenge. If Iraq’s regime defies us again, the world must move deliberately, decisively to hold Iraq to account. We will work with the U.N. Security Council for the necessary resolutions.

The fact is that President Bush is giving the United Nations and the international community a final chance to disarm Saddam Hussein through diplomatic means. But under no illusions of Saddam Hussein’s violent and irrational character, the President has made clear that if reason fails, force will prevail. I am reminded of President Franklin Roosevelt insights into Nazi Germany and Adolph Hitler: “No man can tame a tiger into a kitten by stroking it. There can be no appeasement with ruthlessness. There can be no reasoning with an incendiary bomb.”

Ah, the “Hitler” comparison. The last refuge of a man with no reasonable arguments. Many of Hagel’s warnings were correct, but the implication of that remark from McConnell is that he, and the vast majority of Republicans, were and still are completely wrong.

At least they’re ready to finally admit it. But don’t expect them to do anything about it.

A Few Notes

I want to thank Nebraska Young Democrats and the Young Democrats of America for a very successful Spring National Conference this weekend. Governor Bill Richardson, a candidate for President, gave the keynote address and met with the Young Dems on Friday. Also on Friday, we heard from Scott Kleeb, and on Saturday we had a panel discussion with Jim Esch and Gary Di. And we showed everyone a hell of a good time in Omaha.

Specifically, for the UNO College Democrats, the YDA National Committee passed a resolution recognizing our efforts for the Tribute To The Fallen that we held in April.

Don’t forget, the YDA National Convention in Dallas is July 18-21st. It should be a lot of fun.

I’ll get back to regular posting very soon - we’ve got a lot to discuss.

A Tale Of Two Mayors

Former Omaha Mayor Hal Daub, as expected, announced his plans to enter the 2008 Senate race this morning.

But quite unexpected was Daub’s refusal to shut the door on a Senate bid should Hagel decide to seek reelection. In our clearest indication yet that the Nebraska Republican Party may be ready to move on from Chuck Hagel, Daub said he won’t base his decision of whether to run or not on Hagel’s presence in the race. Bruning said the same thing in April, except with more of an eye toward forcing Hagel out of the race.

Daub claims he will embark on a “listening tour” across the state, and base his decision to run on what he hears from the Nebraska voters. But Daub has already heard from the voters of Nebraska on more than one occasion, losing two statewide elections - one primary and one general - and losing reelection as mayor of Omaha. As Ryan Anderson points out, Hal Daub seems to be running against Hal Daub.

Daub’s six years as mayor of Omaha were steeped in controversy. Never one to work well with others, Hal Daub drew heated and contentious fights with the Omaha City Council. Omahans grew tired of this, and threw his ass out in 2001. In Mike Fahey, the man who defeated him in that election, it became very clear that Omaha had found the right man for the job. Consider this from Fahey’s campaign announcement in December, 2000:

In remarks prepared for delivery at his campaign headquarters near 132nd and L Streets, Fahey never mentioned Daub’s name. But the frequent conflict between Daub and members of the City Council provided the backdrop for Fahey’s speech.

“I understand that it takes an evenhanded personality to forge mutually respectful relationships with a sometimes divided and divisive electorate,” Fahey said.

“People want decisive leadership, not divisive leadership. People prefer consensus, not confrontation.”
Omaha World-Herald December 20, 2000

In the last six years, Fahey has proven to be the decisive leader that he promised he would be in 2001. The people of Omaha responded in kind, overwhelmingly reelecting Fahey to a second term in 2005.

Now, both Daub and Fahey are considering taking a run at the U.S. Senate. And based on their records alone, it should be clear who the superior choice is. As Ryan wrote last week:

The Fahey administration has committed itself to fiscally responsible growth, and in this area they have been remarkably successful. Buildings have been raised, standards of living have been raised, but taxes haven’t. Their bold advocacy of a city-county merger is a model of effective government that could cut red tape and save the state money. Apparently, all this hasn’t gone unnoticed (or unappreciated) out west.

Now 52 weeks away from what promises to be a heated Republican fight for the nomination - it’s clear that Nebraska, like Omaha in 2001, is in need of decisive leadership, just the kind that Mike Fahey has provided for the city of Omaha over the past six years. And the kind that will earn the respect of Nebraskans of both parties, from all corners of the state.

Hal Daub’s Ready To Lose Another Election

hal_daub.jpg

KMTV is reporting that that former Omaha Mayor and three time electoral loser Hal Daub is going to enter the Senate race on Tuesday, announcing the formation of an exploratory committee to run in case Chuck Hagel decides against seeking reelection.

Daub, then a Congressman from Nebraska’s 2nd District, unsuccessfully challenged David Karnes for the Republican nomination for Senate in 1988 (Karnes eventually lost the general election to Bob Kerrey). In 1990, he unsuccessfully challenged Jim Exon for his Senate seat. After a couple of years out of the political spotlight, Daub jumped back in when P.J. Morgan decided that being mayor of Omaha was too hard, and resigned. After beating Brenda Council in the special runoff election, Daub became mayor of Omaha, and in 1997, narrowly defeated Council again.

Over the next four years, Daub tried to take absolute control of the city’s operations, with a “my way or the highway” approach that didn’t sit well with voters. Constant feuds with the City Council and toxic personality clashes throughout city hall led to a contentious election in 2001. Mike Fahey was elected mayor of Omaha largely on the strength of his message, and Omaha was just plain sick of Hal Daub.

Daub is currently National Committeeman for the Nebraska Republican Party. But while Republican insiders may not yet be sick of him, the state of Nebraska and the city of Omaha have rejected him and his style of politics on numerous occasions. Hal Daub seems to be more than willing to give Nebraska another opportunity to reject him.

UPDATE: At some point in the near future, I’ll start digging through the news archives for some “Greatest Hits” from Hal Daub (and anyone else you want me to pick on, too). So stay tuned for that. 

I Agree With Rudy Giuliani…

Wait. Did I really just say that?

Yeah. In case you missed it, Republican frontrunner Rudy Giuliani decided this week that he is going to run as a pro-choice Republican:

After months of conflicting signals on abortion, Rudolph W. Giuliani is planning to offer a forthright affirmation of his support for abortion rights in public forums, television appearances and interviews in the coming days, despite the potential for bad consequences among some conservative voters already wary of his views, aides said yesterday.

“Ultimately,” Giuliani said, “there has to be a right to choose.”

I cannot emphasize enough how significant this is. For thirty years now, the fight for a woman’s right to choose has been largely waged on partisan grounds (which means that even if you personally disagree with Ben Nelson, ultimately the fact that he’s a Democrat helps women’s rights considerably). Republicans have been “pro-life,” while Democrats have been “pro-choice.” And to run against that in your own party, particularly for the Presidential nomination, is very nearly political suicide. Jerome Armstrong at MyDD has a great analysis of what this is going to do to the debate on the Republican side.

For a while, it looked like the war would be a central division in the Republican electorate, but the Cult of Bush has remained strong. It may still happen, particularly if Hagel gets into the race, but for now, the central issue for Republicans is going to be choice. And at every opportunity, Giuliani is going to be hammered by the other Republican contenders.

This isn’t The West Wing, folks. If Giuliani’s really going to seek the nomination of the Republican Party as a pro-choice candidate, he can kiss any chance he has of winning goodbye. They’ll all flock to Fred Thompson, or whoever the hell they think is the second coming of St. Ronnie today.

But this is going to radically shift the debate about choice in a direction that favors women’s rights. The frontrunner for the Republican nomination is saying that we have to recognize a woman’s right to choose. That’s significant. If he ultimately ends up winning, the religious right’s influence on the Republican Party could be dead. Now, I don’t think that’s going to happen, in fact quite the opposite, but they’re welcome to drive their party further to the right and alienate everyone who recognizes the need for sane, reasonable policy when it comes to reproductive health.

Keep an eye on the Republican Presidential race, is all I’m saying. It’s going to be entertaining.

(Any takers on when the first “Rudy: Baby Killer” ad is coming?)



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